Table 3 Comparison of main simulation results of the first wave infection in three scenarios
From: Modeling-based design of adaptive control strategy for the effective preparation of ‘Disease X’
Baseline | Scenario 1 | Scenario 2 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Value | Value | Increment | Value | Increment | |
Peak value of new infection | 55,929,128 | 29,714,209 | 0.53 | 52,208,764 | 0.93 |
Cumulative infection | 1,170,444,136 | 1,045,530,316 | 0.89 | 1,152,632,155 | 0.99 |
Cumulative infection rate (CIR) | 82.9% | 74.06% | 0.89 | 81.64% | 0.99 |
Peak incidence number of severe illness | 270,435 | 368,397 | 1.36 | 201,820 | 0.75 |
Cumulative Severe infection | 6,827,956 | 13,805,255 | 2.02 | 4,999,293 | 0.73 |
Severe infection rate | 0.484% | 1.32% | 2.73 | 0.434% | 0.9 |
Peak incidence number of death | 97,918 | 289,637 | 2.96 | 80,886 | 0.83 |
Cumulative deaths | 2,928,799 | 11,132,724 | 3.8 | 2,335,700 | 0.8 |
Case fatality rate (CFR) | 0.25% | 1.065% | 4.26 | 0.203% | 0.81 |