Fig. 3
From: Modeling-based design of adaptive control strategy for the effective preparation of ‘Disease X’

a Data on new vaccination doses in China obtained from OWID. The start time of the simulation in the three scenarios is marked with a vertical dotted line. b Data on cumulative vaccination doses in China obtained from OWID. The start time of the simulation in the three scenarios is marked with a vertical dotted line. Histogram of c. CIR, e severe infection rate, and g CFR in three scenarios. d The collected data on China’s vaccination coverage at different time points played a crucial role in calibrating the model under baseline conditions and in setting the initial population distribution for various scenarios. f Simulated outbreak curves (daily infections) for China easing its zero-COVID policy under three scenarios