Assessing the reliability of medical resource demand models in the context of COVID-19

Table 5 Values of normalized average future cumulative error

	Model	Average future cumulative error
Hospitalizations	Columbia	0.42 ± 0.12 (n=8)
Hospitalizations	IHME	0.24 ± 0.08 (n=8)
Admissions	Covid19Sim	0.29 ± 0.12 (n=8)
	GT-DeepCOVID	0.49 ± 0.11 (n=8)
	IHME	0.59 ± 0.09 (n=8)
	JHU IDD	0.35 ± 0.17 (n=8)
	Karlen	0.39 ± 0.15 (n=8)
	UCLA	0.52 ± 0.14 (n=5)

Mean ± SD are presented, where the mean is average of metric across the peak events. n = number of peak events

ISSN: 1472-6947