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Table 3 Performance measures for assessing the predictive accuracy of mania treatment continuation prediction models. Single-year data are from 2016, and two years of data are from 2013–2015

From: Unlocking treatment success: predicting atypical antipsychotic continuation in youth with mania

Model

AUC

Intercept

Slope

(single year)

(consecutive 2-year)

(single year)

(consecutive 2-year)

(single year)

(consecutive 2-year)

Generalized Linear Model (Reference)

0.82

(0.79–0.85)

0.82

(0.79–0.85)

-1.24

-1.24

1.00

1.01

Support Vector Machines with Linear Kernel

0.82

(0.79–0.85)

0.82

(0.79–0.85)

-1.23

-1.24

1.14

1.14

Generalized Additive Model using LOESS

0.82

(0·78–0·86)

0.81

(0·78–0·85)

-1.25

-1.25

1.12

1.12

Stochastic Gradient Boosting

0.81

(0·75–0·81)

0.81

(0·75–0·81)

-1.26

-1.26

1.19

1.17

Random Forest

0.78

(0·75–0·81)

0.77

(0·75–0·80)

-0.29

-0.28

1.78

1.76

Super Learner

0.82

(0·79–0·85)

0.82

(0·79–0·85)

-1.24

-1.24

1.01

1.00