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Table 2 Forecast Accuracy measured as Mean Absolute Percentage Error for the various forecasting models on the validation dataset.

From: Time series modeling for syndromic surveillance

 

Simple Mean

Seasonal

Trimmed Seasonal

ARIMA

Total Visits %

11.58

9.62

9.56

9.37

Respiratory Visits %

50.16

33.80

32.05

27.54